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Friday · May 29 ✦

TWINS @ PIRATES

PNC Park.

Final

Twins 5
PIRATES 6

Our Pick

PITTSBURGH PIRATES, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–4 Pittsburgh Pirates · Actual: 5–6 Pirates

51%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Twins Pirates Projected Result
Baseline Pittsburgh Pirates 36% 64% 3–4
Pitcher-weighted Minnesota Twins 51% 49% 3–3
Platoon-weighted Minnesota Twins 53% 47% 4–3
Pitcher + Platoon Pittsburgh Pirates 47% 53% 3–3
Logistic Minnesota Twins 57% 43%
Random Forest Pittsburgh Pirates 49% 51%
Consensus Pittsburgh Pirates 49% 51% 3–4
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Twins this season

49–38

56% across 87 games

Pirates this season

46–41

53% across 87 games