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Friday · May 29 ✦

TWINS @ PIRATES

PNC Park.

Final

Twins 5
PIRATES 6

Our Pick

PITTSBURGH PIRATES, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–4 Pittsburgh Pirates · Actual: 5–6 Pirates

51%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Twins Pirates Projected Result
Baseline Pittsburgh Pirates 36% 64% 3–4 ✓
Pitcher-weighted Minnesota Twins 51% 49% 3–3 ✗
Platoon-weighted Minnesota Twins 53% 47% 4–3 ✗
Pitcher + Platoon Pittsburgh Pirates 47% 53% 3–3 ✓
Logistic Minnesota Twins 57% 43% — ✗
Random Forest Pittsburgh Pirates 49% 51% — ✓
Consensus Pittsburgh Pirates 49% 51% 3–4 ✓
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Twins this season

83–72

54% across 155 games

Pirates this season

85–70

55% across 155 games