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Thursday · May 28 ✦

CUBS @ PIRATES

PNC Park.

Final

CUBS 7
Pirates 2

Our Pick

CHICAGO CUBS, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–3 Chicago Cubs · Actual: 7–2 Cubs

53%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Cubs Pirates Projected Result
Baseline Chicago Cubs 58% 42% 4–3 ✓
Pitcher-weighted Chicago Cubs 69% 31% 4–3 ✓
Platoon-weighted Chicago Cubs 51% 49% 3–4 ✓
Pitcher + Platoon Chicago Cubs 51% 49% 3–3 ✓
Logistic Pittsburgh Pirates 40% 60% — ✗
Random Forest Chicago Cubs 52% 48% — ✓
Consensus Chicago Cubs 53% 47% 4–3 ✓
5 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Cubs this season

77–80

49% across 157 games

Pirates this season

85–70

55% across 155 games