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Thursday · May 28 ✦

CUBS @ PIRATES

PNC Park.

Final

CUBS 7
Pirates 2

Our Pick

CHICAGO CUBS, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–3 Chicago Cubs · Actual: 7–2 Cubs

53%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Cubs Pirates Projected Result
Baseline Chicago Cubs 58% 42% 4–3
Pitcher-weighted Chicago Cubs 69% 31% 4–3
Platoon-weighted Chicago Cubs 51% 49% 3–4
Pitcher + Platoon Chicago Cubs 51% 49% 3–3
Logistic Pittsburgh Pirates 40% 60%
Random Forest Chicago Cubs 52% 48%
Consensus Chicago Cubs 53% 47% 4–3
5 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Cubs this season

40–47

46% across 87 games

Pirates this season

46–41

53% across 87 games