Monday · May 25 · 1:39 PM ✦
CUBS @ PIRATES
PNC Park. · 73 degrees, cloudy, wind 5 mph out to cf
Final
Cubs
1
PIRATES
2
Our Pick
CHICAGO CUBS, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 4–4 Chicago Cubs · Actual: 1–2 Pirates
53%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Cubs | Pirates | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Chicago Cubs | 56% | 44% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Chicago Cubs | 51% | 49% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Chicago Cubs | 51% | 49% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Chicago Cubs | 58% | 42% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Chicago Cubs | 53% | 47% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Pittsburgh Pirates | 45% | 55% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Chicago Cubs | 53% | 47% | 4–4 | ✗ |
1 of 6 sims got it right — Random Forest caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Cubs this season
77–80
49% across 157 games
Pirates this season
85–70
55% across 155 games