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Sunday · May 17 · 1:38 PM ✦

PHILLIES @ PIRATES

PNC Park. · 81 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 10 mph out to lf

Final

PHILLIES 6
Pirates 0

Our Pick

PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–3 Philadelphia Phillies · Actual: 6–0 Phillies

51%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Phillies Pirates Projected Result
Baseline Philadelphia Phillies 55% 45% 4–3
Pitcher-weighted Pittsburgh Pirates 45% 55% 4–4
Platoon-weighted Philadelphia Phillies 53% 47% 4–3
Pitcher + Platoon Philadelphia Phillies 56% 44% 4–3
Logistic Pittsburgh Pirates 47% 53%
Random Forest Pittsburgh Pirates 47% 53%
Consensus Philadelphia Phillies 51% 49% 4–3
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Phillies this season

30–15

67% across 45 games

Pirates this season

26–19

58% across 45 games