Sunday · May 17 · 1:38 PM ✦
PHILLIES @ PIRATES
PNC Park. · 81 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 10 mph out to lf
Final
PHILLIES
6
Pirates
0
Our Pick
PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES, narrowly
✓ CorrectProjected: 4–3 Philadelphia Phillies · Actual: 6–0 Phillies
51%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Phillies | Pirates | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Philadelphia Phillies | 55% | 45% | 4–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Pittsburgh Pirates | 45% | 55% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Philadelphia Phillies | 53% | 47% | 4–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Philadelphia Phillies | 56% | 44% | 4–3 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Pittsburgh Pirates | 47% | 53% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Pittsburgh Pirates | 47% | 53% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Philadelphia Phillies | 51% | 49% | 4–3 | ✓ |
3 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Phillies this season
94–64
59% across 158 games
Pirates this season
85–70
55% across 155 games