Saturday · May 16 · 4:07 PM ✦
PHILLIES @ PIRATES
PNC Park. · 66 degrees, overcast, wind 12 mph r to l
Final
PHILLIES
6
Pirates
0
Our Pick
PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES
✓ CorrectProjected: 4–3 Philadelphia Phillies · Actual: 6–0 Phillies
55%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Phillies | Pirates | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Philadelphia Phillies | 62% | 38% | 4–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Philadelphia Phillies | 60% | 40% | 4–3 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Philadelphia Phillies | 51% | 49% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Philadelphia Phillies | 62% | 38% | 4–3 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Pittsburgh Pirates | 46% | 54% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Philadelphia Phillies | 54% | 46% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Philadelphia Phillies | 55% | 45% | 4–3 | ✓ |
5 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Phillies this season
30–15
67% across 45 games
Pirates this season
26–19
58% across 45 games