Back to the recap

Thursday · May 14 · 12:37 PM ✦

ROCKIES @ PIRATES

PNC Park. · 49 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 12 mph out to cf

Final

Rockies 2
PIRATES 7

Our Pick

PITTSBURGH PIRATES

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–4 Pittsburgh Pirates · Actual: 2–7 Pirates

55%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Rockies Pirates Projected Result
Baseline Pittsburgh Pirates 44% 56% 3–4
Pitcher-weighted Colorado Rockies 51% 49% 3–4
Platoon-weighted Pittsburgh Pirates 44% 56% 3–4
Pitcher + Platoon Pittsburgh Pirates 33% 67% 3–5
Logistic Pittsburgh Pirates 48% 52%
Random Forest Colorado Rockies 52% 48%
Consensus Pittsburgh Pirates 45% 55% 3–4
4 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Rockies this season

30–15

67% across 45 games

Pirates this season

26–19

58% across 45 games