Friday · May 15 · 6:41 PM ✦
PHILLIES @ PIRATES
PNC Park. · 66 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 6 mph out to cf
Final
PHILLIES
11
Pirates
9
Our Pick
PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES, narrowly
✓ CorrectProjected: 4–4 Philadelphia Phillies · Actual: 11–9 Phillies
53%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Phillies | Pirates | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Pittsburgh Pirates | 45% | 55% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Pittsburgh Pirates | 49% | 51% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Philadelphia Phillies | 65% | 35% | 5–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Philadelphia Phillies | 56% | 44% | 4–3 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Philadelphia Phillies | 54% | 46% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Pittsburgh Pirates | 40% | 60% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Philadelphia Phillies | 53% | 47% | 4–4 | ✓ |
3 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Phillies this season
30–15
67% across 45 games
Pirates this season
26–19
58% across 45 games