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Tuesday · May 12 ✦

ROCKIES @ PIRATES

PNC Park.

Final

Rockies 1
PIRATES 3

Our Pick

PITTSBURGH PIRATES, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–3 Pittsburgh Pirates · Actual: 1–3 Pirates

54%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Rockies Pirates Projected Result
Baseline Colorado Rockies 51% 49% 3–3
Pitcher-weighted Pittsburgh Pirates 45% 55% 3–4
Platoon-weighted Pittsburgh Pirates 40% 60% 3–4
Pitcher + Platoon Pittsburgh Pirates 49% 51% 3–3
Logistic Pittsburgh Pirates 45% 55%
Random Forest Pittsburgh Pirates 46% 54%
Consensus Pittsburgh Pirates 46% 54% 3–3
5 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Rockies this season

30–15

67% across 45 games

Pirates this season

26–19

58% across 45 games