Wednesday · May 13 · 7:06 PM ✦
ROCKIES @ PIRATES
PNC Park. · 61 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 13 mph out to rf
Final
ROCKIES
10
Pirates
4
Our Pick
PITTSBURGH PIRATES
✗ WrongProjected: 3–4 Pittsburgh Pirates · Actual: 10–4 Rockies
55%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Rockies | Pirates | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Pittsburgh Pirates | 38% | 62% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Pittsburgh Pirates | 33% | 67% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Pittsburgh Pirates | 44% | 56% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Pittsburgh Pirates | 47% | 53% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Colorado Rockies | 55% | 45% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Colorado Rockies | 54% | 46% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Pittsburgh Pirates | 45% | 55% | 3–4 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Logistic and Random Forest caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Rockies this season
30–15
67% across 45 games
Pirates this season
26–19
58% across 45 games