Sunday · May 3 · 1:37 PM ✦
REDS @ PIRATES
PNC Park. · 56 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 13 mph out to lf
Final
Reds
0
PIRATES
1
Our Pick
CINCINNATI REDS, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 4–3 Cincinnati Reds · Actual: 0–1 Pirates
53%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Reds | Pirates | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Cincinnati Reds | 60% | 40% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Pittsburgh Pirates | 45% | 55% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Cincinnati Reds | 51% | 49% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Cincinnati Reds | 53% | 47% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Pittsburgh Pirates | 49% | 51% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Cincinnati Reds | 58% | 42% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Cincinnati Reds | 53% | 47% | 4–3 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Pitcher-weighted and Logistic caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Reds this season
30–15
67% across 45 games
Pirates this season
26–19
58% across 45 games