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Saturday · May 2 · 4:07 PM ✦

REDS @ PIRATES

PNC Park. · 43 degrees, overcast, wind 10 mph out to rf

Final

Reds 7
PIRATES 17

Our Pick

PITTSBURGH PIRATES, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–3 Pittsburgh Pirates · Actual: 7–17 Pirates

51%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Reds Pirates Projected Result
Baseline Pittsburgh Pirates 49% 51% 4–4
Pitcher-weighted Cincinnati Reds 64% 36% 3–2
Platoon-weighted Pittsburgh Pirates 45% 55% 3–3
Pitcher + Platoon Cincinnati Reds 65% 35% 4–2
Logistic Pittsburgh Pirates 43% 57%
Random Forest Pittsburgh Pirates 37% 63%
Consensus Pittsburgh Pirates 49% 51% 4–3
4 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Reds this season

30–15

67% across 45 games

Pirates this season

26–19

58% across 45 games