Saturday · May 2 · 4:07 PM ✦
REDS @ PIRATES
PNC Park. · 43 degrees, overcast, wind 10 mph out to rf
Final
Reds
7
PIRATES
17
Our Pick
PITTSBURGH PIRATES, narrowly
✓ CorrectProjected: 4–3 Pittsburgh Pirates · Actual: 7–17 Pirates
51%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Reds | Pirates | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Pittsburgh Pirates | 49% | 51% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Cincinnati Reds | 64% | 36% | 3–2 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Pittsburgh Pirates | 45% | 55% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Cincinnati Reds | 65% | 35% | 4–2 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Pittsburgh Pirates | 43% | 57% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Pittsburgh Pirates | 37% | 63% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Pittsburgh Pirates | 49% | 51% | 4–3 | ✓ |
4 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Reds this season
82–73
53% across 155 games
Pirates this season
85–70
55% across 155 games