Back to the recap

Tuesday · April 28 · 6:42 PM ✦

CARDINALS @ PIRATES

PNC Park. · 71 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 7 mph out to lf

Final

CARDINALS 11
Pirates 7

Our Pick

ST. LOUIS CARDINALS, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–3 St. Louis Cardinals · Actual: 11–7 Cardinals

53%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Cardinals Pirates Projected Result
Baseline Pittsburgh Pirates 35% 65% 3–4
Pitcher-weighted St. Louis Cardinals 55% 45% 3–3
Platoon-weighted Pittsburgh Pirates 44% 56% 3–3
Pitcher + Platoon Pittsburgh Pirates 45% 55% 3–3
Logistic St. Louis Cardinals 52% 48%
Random Forest St. Louis Cardinals 76% 24%
Consensus St. Louis Cardinals 53% 47% 3–3
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Cardinals this season

28–18

61% across 46 games

Pirates this season

26–21

55% across 47 games