Thursday · April 30 · 12:38 PM ✦
CARDINALS @ PIRATES
PNC Park. · 46 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 11 mph out to cf
Final
CARDINALS
10
Pirates
5
Our Pick
PITTSBURGH PIRATES, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 3–4 Pittsburgh Pirates · Actual: 10–5 Cardinals
51%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Cardinals | Pirates | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Pittsburgh Pirates | 47% | 53% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Pittsburgh Pirates | 33% | 67% | 2–3 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | St. Louis Cardinals | 55% | 45% | 4–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Pittsburgh Pirates | 25% | 73% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Pittsburgh Pirates | 47% | 53% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | St. Louis Cardinals | 77% | 23% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Pittsburgh Pirates | 49% | 51% | 3–4 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Platoon-weighted and Random Forest caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Cardinals this season
89–66
57% across 155 games
Pirates this season
85–70
55% across 155 games