Wednesday · April 29 ✦
CARDINALS @ PIRATES
PNC Park.
Final
CARDINALS
5
Pirates
4
Our Pick
ST. LOUIS CARDINALS, narrowly
✓ CorrectProjected: 3–3 St. Louis Cardinals · Actual: 5–4 Cardinals
51%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Cardinals | Pirates | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Pittsburgh Pirates | 47% | 53% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Pittsburgh Pirates | 49% | 51% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Pittsburgh Pirates | 45% | 55% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Pittsburgh Pirates | 42% | 58% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Pittsburgh Pirates | 40% | 60% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | St. Louis Cardinals | 78% | 22% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | St. Louis Cardinals | 51% | 49% | 3–3 | ✓ |
1 of 6 sims got it right — Random Forest caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Cardinals this season
28–18
61% across 46 games
Pirates this season
26–21
55% across 47 games