Saturday · April 18 · 4:05 pm ✦
RAYS @ PIRATES
PNC Park. · 80 degrees, overcast, wind 16 mph out to lf
Final
RAYS
8
Pirates
7
Our Pick
TAMPA BAY RAYS, narrowly
✓ CorrectProjected: 3–3 Tampa Bay Rays · Actual: 8–7 Rays
54%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Rays | Pirates | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Tampa Bay Rays | 60% | 40% | 4–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Pittsburgh Pirates | 42% | 58% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Tampa Bay Rays | 55% | 45% | 4–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Pittsburgh Pirates | 47% | 53% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Tampa Bay Rays | 50% | 50% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Tampa Bay Rays | 67% | 33% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Tampa Bay Rays | 54% | 46% | 3–3 | ✓ |
4 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Rays this season
19–25
43% across 44 games
Pirates this season
26–21
55% across 47 games