Monday · April 27 · 6:40 pm ✦
CARDINALS @ PIRATES
PNC Park. · 72 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 13 mph in from rf
Final
CARDINALS
4
Pirates
2
Our Pick
PITTSBURGH PIRATES, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 3–4 Pittsburgh Pirates · Actual: 4–2 Cardinals
52%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Cardinals | Pirates | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Pittsburgh Pirates | 40% | 60% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | St. Louis Cardinals | 53% | 47% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Pittsburgh Pirates | 38% | 62% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Pittsburgh Pirates | 40% | 60% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Pittsburgh Pirates | 47% | 53% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | St. Louis Cardinals | 64% | 36% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Pittsburgh Pirates | 48% | 52% | 3–4 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Pitcher-weighted and Random Forest caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Cardinals this season
28–18
61% across 46 games
Pirates this season
26–21
55% across 47 games