Thursday · April 16 · 12:37 PM ✦
NATIONALS @ PIRATES
PNC Park. · 75 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 13 mph out to lf
Final
NATIONALS
8
Pirates
7
Our Pick
PITTSBURGH PIRATES
✗ WrongProjected: 2–4 Pittsburgh Pirates · Actual: 8–7 Nationals
55%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Nationals | Pirates | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Pittsburgh Pirates | 44% | 56% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Pittsburgh Pirates | 27% | 73% | 2–5 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Pittsburgh Pirates | 40% | 60% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Pittsburgh Pirates | 24% | 76% | 2–4 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Washington Nationals | 58% | 42% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Washington Nationals | 64% | 36% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Pittsburgh Pirates | 45% | 55% | 2–4 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Logistic and Random Forest caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Nationals this season
27–20
57% across 47 games
Pirates this season
26–21
55% across 47 games