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Tuesday · April 14 ✦

NATIONALS @ PIRATES

PNC Park.

Final

NATIONALS 5
Pirates 4

Our Pick

PITTSBURGH PIRATES, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 2–3 Pittsburgh Pirates · Actual: 5–4 Nationals

52%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Nationals Pirates Projected Result
Baseline Pittsburgh Pirates 35% 65% 3–4
Pitcher-weighted Pittsburgh Pirates 38% 62% 2–3
Platoon-weighted Pittsburgh Pirates 35% 65% 2–3
Pitcher + Platoon Pittsburgh Pirates 42% 58% 2–3
Logistic Pittsburgh Pirates 47% 53%
Random Forest Washington Nationals 78% 22%
Consensus Pittsburgh Pirates 48% 52% 2–3
1 of 6 sims got it right — Random Forest caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Nationals this season

27–20

57% across 47 games

Pirates this season

26–21

55% across 47 games