Tuesday · April 14 ✦
NATIONALS @ PIRATES
PNC Park.
Final
NATIONALS
5
Pirates
4
Our Pick
PITTSBURGH PIRATES, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 2–3 Pittsburgh Pirates · Actual: 5–4 Nationals
52%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Nationals | Pirates | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Pittsburgh Pirates | 35% | 65% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Pittsburgh Pirates | 38% | 62% | 2–3 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Pittsburgh Pirates | 35% | 65% | 2–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Pittsburgh Pirates | 42% | 58% | 2–3 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Pittsburgh Pirates | 47% | 53% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Washington Nationals | 78% | 22% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Pittsburgh Pirates | 48% | 52% | 2–3 | ✗ |
1 of 6 sims got it right — Random Forest caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Nationals this season
27–20
57% across 47 games
Pirates this season
26–21
55% across 47 games