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Wednesday · April 15 · 6:40 pm ✦

NATIONALS @ PIRATES

PNC Park. · 81 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 6 mph out to lf

Final

Nationals 0
PIRATES 2

Our Pick

PITTSBURGH PIRATES

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–4 Pittsburgh Pirates · Actual: 0–2 Pirates

62%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Nationals Pirates Projected Result
Baseline Pittsburgh Pirates 45% 55% 3–4
Pitcher-weighted Pittsburgh Pirates 33% 67% 3–4
Platoon-weighted Pittsburgh Pirates 33% 67% 3–4
Pitcher + Platoon Pittsburgh Pirates 40% 60% 3–4
Logistic Pittsburgh Pirates 47% 53%
Random Forest Pittsburgh Pirates 31% 69%
Consensus Pittsburgh Pirates 38% 62% 3–4
All 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Nationals this season

27–20

57% across 47 games

Pirates this season

26–21

55% across 47 games