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Monday · April 13 ✦

NATIONALS @ PIRATES

PNC Park.

Final

Nationals 5
PIRATES 16

Our Pick

PITTSBURGH PIRATES

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–4 Pittsburgh Pirates · Actual: 5–16 Pirates

58%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Nationals Pirates Projected Result
Baseline Pittsburgh Pirates 40% 60% 3–4
Pitcher-weighted Pittsburgh Pirates 31% 69% 3–4
Platoon-weighted Pittsburgh Pirates 36% 64% 3–4
Pitcher + Platoon Washington Nationals 56% 44% 3–3
Logistic Pittsburgh Pirates 45% 55%
Random Forest Pittsburgh Pirates 41% 59%
Consensus Pittsburgh Pirates 42% 58% 3–4
5 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Nationals this season

27–20

57% across 47 games

Pirates this season

26–21

55% across 47 games