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Tuesday · April 7 ✦

PADRES @ PIRATES

PNC Park.

Final

Padres 1
PIRATES 7

Our Pick

PITTSBURGH PIRATES

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–3 Pittsburgh Pirates · Actual: 1–7 Pirates

56%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Padres Pirates Projected Result
Baseline San Diego Padres 51% 49% 4–4
Pitcher-weighted Pittsburgh Pirates 47% 53% 4–4
Platoon-weighted San Diego Padres 58% 42% 4–3
Pitcher + Platoon Pittsburgh Pirates 42% 58% 4–4
Logistic Pittsburgh Pirates 36% 64%
Random Forest Pittsburgh Pirates 35% 65%
Consensus Pittsburgh Pirates 44% 56% 4–3
4 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Padres this season

33–12

73% across 45 games

Pirates this season

26–21

55% across 47 games