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Wednesday · April 8 · 12:38 PM ✦

PADRES @ PIRATES

PNC Park. · 46 degrees, sunny, wind 8 mph in from cf

Final

PADRES 8
Pirates 2

Our Pick

SAN DIEGO PADRES, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–3 San Diego Padres · Actual: 8–2 Padres

54%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Padres Pirates Projected Result
Baseline San Diego Padres 56% 44% 4–3
Pitcher-weighted San Diego Padres 60% 40% 4–3
Platoon-weighted Pittsburgh Pirates 49% 51% 3–4
Pitcher + Platoon San Diego Padres 73% 27% 4–2
Logistic Pittsburgh Pirates 46% 54%
Random Forest Pittsburgh Pirates 47% 53%
Consensus San Diego Padres 54% 46% 4–3
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Padres this season

33–12

73% across 45 games

Pirates this season

26–21

55% across 47 games