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Friday · April 3 · 4:13 PM ✦

ORIOLES @ PIRATES

PNC Park. · 75 degrees, cloudy, wind 16 mph out to lf

Final

Orioles 4
PIRATES 5

Our Pick

PITTSBURGH PIRATES

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–4 Pittsburgh Pirates · Actual: 4–5 Pirates

55%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Orioles Pirates Projected Result
Baseline Pittsburgh Pirates 47% 53% 4–4 ✓
Pitcher-weighted Baltimore Orioles 53% 47% 3–4 ✗
Platoon-weighted Pittsburgh Pirates 42% 58% 3–3 ✓
Pitcher + Platoon Baltimore Orioles 53% 47% 4–4 ✗
Logistic Pittsburgh Pirates 50% 50% — ✓
Random Forest Pittsburgh Pirates 30% 70% — ✓
Consensus Pittsburgh Pirates 45% 55% 4–4 ✓
4 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Orioles this season

28–17

62% across 45 games

Pirates this season

26–21

55% across 47 games