Saturday · September 26 · 7:15 pm ✦
RAYS @ PHILLIES
Citizens Bank Park. · 62 degrees, cloudy, wind 14 mph in from cf
Final
RAYS
12
Phillies
1
Our Pick
PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 4–4 Philadelphia Phillies · Actual: 12–1 Rays
53%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Rays | Phillies | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Philadelphia Phillies | 44% | 56% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Philadelphia Phillies | 38% | 62% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Tampa Bay Rays | 58% | 42% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Tampa Bay Rays | 53% | 47% | 4–3 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Tampa Bay Rays | 55% | 45% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Philadelphia Phillies | 24% | 76% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Philadelphia Phillies | 47% | 53% | 4–4 | ✗ |
3 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Rays this season
78–80
49% across 158 games
Phillies this season
94–64
59% across 158 games