Sunday · September 27 · 2:31 PM ✦
RAYS @ PHILLIES
Citizens Bank Park. · 65 degrees, overcast, wind 19 mph in from rf
Final
Rays
3
PHILLIES
7
Our Pick
PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES
✓ CorrectProjected: 3–4 Philadelphia Phillies · Actual: 3–7 Phillies
56%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Rays | Phillies | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Philadelphia Phillies | 31% | 69% | 3–5 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Philadelphia Phillies | 38% | 62% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Philadelphia Phillies | 49% | 51% | 3–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Philadelphia Phillies | 42% | 58% | 3–4 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Philadelphia Phillies | 50% | 50% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Tampa Bay Rays | 55% | 45% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Philadelphia Phillies | 44% | 56% | 3–4 | ✓ |
5 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Rays this season
78–80
49% across 158 games
Phillies this season
94–64
59% across 158 games