← Back to the recap

Friday · September 25 · 6:42 PM ✦

RAYS @ PHILLIES

Citizens Bank Park. · 71 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 17 mph in from cf

Final

RAYS 2
Phillies 0

Our Pick

PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–4 Philadelphia Phillies · Actual: 2–0 Rays

58%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Rays Phillies Projected Result
Baseline Philadelphia Phillies 40% 60% 4–4 ✗
Pitcher-weighted Philadelphia Phillies 49% 51% 3–4 ✗
Platoon-weighted Philadelphia Phillies 42% 58% 3–4 ✗
Pitcher + Platoon Philadelphia Phillies 40% 60% 3–4 ✗
Logistic Philadelphia Phillies 49% 51% — ✗
Random Forest Philadelphia Phillies 25% 75% — ✗
Consensus Philadelphia Phillies 42% 58% 3–4 ✗
None of the 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Rays this season

78–80

49% across 158 games

Phillies this season

94–64

59% across 158 games