Wednesday · September 23 · 6:43 PM ✦
BREWERS @ PHILLIES
Citizens Bank Park. · 65 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 14 mph r to l
Final
BREWERS
4
Phillies
1
Our Pick
MILWAUKEE BREWERS, narrowly
✓ CorrectProjected: 4–4 Milwaukee Brewers · Actual: 4–1 Brewers
50%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Brewers | Phillies | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Milwaukee Brewers | 56% | 44% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Milwaukee Brewers | 60% | 40% | 4–3 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Philadelphia Phillies | 47% | 53% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Philadelphia Phillies | 49% | 51% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Milwaukee Brewers | 50% | 50% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Philadelphia Phillies | 33% | 67% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Milwaukee Brewers | 50% | 50% | 4–4 | ✓ |
3 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Brewers this season
92–67
58% across 159 games
Phillies this season
94–64
59% across 158 games