Thursday · September 24 · 6:06 PM ✦
BREWERS @ PHILLIES
Citizens Bank Park. · 66 degrees, overcast, wind 11 mph in from rf
Final
BREWERS
5
Phillies
1
Our Pick
PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 4–4 Philadelphia Phillies · Actual: 5–1 Brewers
51%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Brewers | Phillies | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Philadelphia Phillies | 45% | 55% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Philadelphia Phillies | 44% | 56% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Philadelphia Phillies | 47% | 53% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Milwaukee Brewers | 51% | 49% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Milwaukee Brewers | 59% | 41% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Philadelphia Phillies | 43% | 57% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Philadelphia Phillies | 49% | 51% | 4–4 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Pitcher + Platoon and Logistic caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Brewers this season
92–67
58% across 159 games
Phillies this season
94–64
59% across 158 games