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Tuesday · September 22 · 6:41 PM ✦

BREWERS @ PHILLIES

Citizens Bank Park. · 63 degrees, overcast, wind 9 mph in from rf

Final

Brewers 4
PHILLIES 6

Our Pick

PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–4 Philadelphia Phillies · Actual: 4–6 Phillies

55%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Brewers Phillies Projected Result
Baseline Philadelphia Phillies 42% 58% 4–4 ✓
Pitcher-weighted Philadelphia Phillies 45% 55% 3–3 ✓
Platoon-weighted Philadelphia Phillies 49% 51% 4–4 ✓
Pitcher + Platoon Philadelphia Phillies 40% 60% 4–4 ✓
Logistic Milwaukee Brewers 52% 48% — ✗
Random Forest Philadelphia Phillies 32% 68% — ✓
Consensus Philadelphia Phillies 45% 55% 3–4 ✓
5 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Brewers this season

92–67

58% across 159 games

Phillies this season

94–64

59% across 158 games