Thursday · September 10 · 1:06 PM ✦
ASTROS @ PHILLIES
Citizens Bank Park. · 86 degrees, sunny, wind 9 mph out to rf
Final
ASTROS
2
Phillies
1
Our Pick
PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES
✗ WrongProjected: 3–4 Philadelphia Phillies · Actual: 2–1 Astros
58%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Astros | Phillies | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Houston Astros | 53% | 47% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Philadelphia Phillies | 40% | 60% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Philadelphia Phillies | 47% | 53% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Philadelphia Phillies | 31% | 69% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Philadelphia Phillies | 46% | 54% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Philadelphia Phillies | 31% | 69% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Philadelphia Phillies | 42% | 58% | 3–4 | ✗ |
1 of 6 sims got it right — Baseline caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Astros this season
90–65
58% across 155 games
Phillies this season
94–64
59% across 158 games