Tuesday · September 8 · 6:40 pm ✦
ASTROS @ PHILLIES
Citizens Bank Park. · 84 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 6 mph out to rf
Final
ASTROS
6
Phillies
5
Our Pick
PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 4–4 Philadelphia Phillies · Actual: 6–5 Astros
52%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Astros | Phillies | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Houston Astros | 55% | 45% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Houston Astros | 53% | 47% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Philadelphia Phillies | 45% | 55% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Philadelphia Phillies | 49% | 51% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Philadelphia Phillies | 48% | 52% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Philadelphia Phillies | 35% | 65% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Philadelphia Phillies | 48% | 52% | 4–4 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Baseline and Pitcher-weighted caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Astros this season
90–65
58% across 155 games
Phillies this season
94–64
59% across 158 games