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Monday · September 7 · 1:06 PM ✦

BRAVES @ PHILLIES

Citizens Bank Park. · 77 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 8 mph in from lf

Final

Braves 0
PHILLIES 1

Our Pick

PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–4 Philadelphia Phillies · Actual: 0–1 Phillies

54%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Braves Phillies Projected Result
Baseline Philadelphia Phillies 44% 56% 4–4 ✓
Pitcher-weighted Philadelphia Phillies 47% 53% 4–4 ✓
Platoon-weighted Atlanta Braves 53% 47% 4–3 ✗
Pitcher + Platoon Atlanta Braves 58% 42% 4–3 ✗
Logistic Philadelphia Phillies 41% 59% — ✓
Random Forest Philadelphia Phillies 30% 70% — ✓
Consensus Philadelphia Phillies 46% 54% 4–4 ✓
4 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Braves this season

86–76

53% across 162 games

Phillies this season

94–64

59% across 158 games