Wednesday · September 9 · 6:40 pm ✦
ASTROS @ PHILLIES
Citizens Bank Park. · 87 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 15 mph out to cf
Final
Astros
7
PHILLIES
11
Our Pick
PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES, narrowly
✓ CorrectProjected: 4–4 Philadelphia Phillies · Actual: 7–11 Phillies
51%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Astros | Phillies | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Houston Astros | 64% | 36% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Houston Astros | 58% | 42% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Philadelphia Phillies | 40% | 60% | 3–5 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Philadelphia Phillies | 47% | 53% | 3–4 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Philadelphia Phillies | 45% | 55% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Philadelphia Phillies | 37% | 63% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Philadelphia Phillies | 49% | 51% | 4–4 | ✓ |
4 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Astros this season
90–65
58% across 155 games
Phillies this season
94–64
59% across 158 games