Sunday · September 6 · 1:12 PM ✦
BRAVES @ PHILLIES
Citizens Bank Park. · 77 degrees, sunny, wind 8 mph in from cf
Final
BRAVES
5
Phillies
4
Our Pick
ATLANTA BRAVES, narrowly
✓ CorrectProjected: 4–4 Atlanta Braves · Actual: 5–4 Braves
53%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Braves | Phillies | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Atlanta Braves | 53% | 47% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Atlanta Braves | 51% | 49% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Atlanta Braves | 55% | 45% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Atlanta Braves | 64% | 36% | 4–3 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Atlanta Braves | 52% | 48% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Philadelphia Phillies | 37% | 63% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Atlanta Braves | 53% | 47% | 4–4 | ✓ |
5 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Braves this season
86–76
53% across 162 games
Phillies this season
94–64
59% across 158 games