Friday · September 4 · 6:40 pm ✦
BRAVES @ PHILLIES
Citizens Bank Park. · 87 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 8 mph out to cf
Final
BRAVES
5
Phillies
2
Our Pick
PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 4–4 Philadelphia Phillies · Actual: 5–2 Braves
50%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Braves | Phillies | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Philadelphia Phillies | 49% | 51% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Philadelphia Phillies | 47% | 53% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Atlanta Braves | 53% | 47% | 5–5 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Atlanta Braves | 64% | 36% | 4–3 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Philadelphia Phillies | 47% | 53% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Philadelphia Phillies | 35% | 65% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Philadelphia Phillies | 50% | 50% | 4–4 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Platoon-weighted and Pitcher + Platoon caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Braves this season
86–76
53% across 162 games
Phillies this season
94–64
59% across 158 games