Saturday · September 5 · 6:05 pm ✦
BRAVES @ PHILLIES
Citizens Bank Park. · 82 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 10 mph in from cf
Final
Braves
2
PHILLIES
4
Our Pick
ATLANTA BRAVES, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 4–4 Atlanta Braves · Actual: 2–4 Phillies
50%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Braves | Phillies | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Philadelphia Phillies | 45% | 55% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Atlanta Braves | 58% | 42% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Atlanta Braves | 55% | 45% | 5–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Philadelphia Phillies | 42% | 58% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Atlanta Braves | 54% | 46% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Philadelphia Phillies | 45% | 55% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Atlanta Braves | 50% | 50% | 4–4 | ✗ |
3 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Braves this season
86–76
53% across 162 games
Phillies this season
94–64
59% across 158 games