Friday · August 21 · 6:40 pm ✦
CARDINALS @ PHILLIES
Citizens Bank Park. · 80 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 3 mph in from cf
Final
Cardinals
6
PHILLIES
7
Our Pick
PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES
✓ CorrectProjected: 3–4 Philadelphia Phillies · Actual: 6–7 Phillies
60%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Cardinals | Phillies | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Philadelphia Phillies | 36% | 64% | 3–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Philadelphia Phillies | 31% | 69% | 3–4 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Philadelphia Phillies | 35% | 65% | 3–5 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Philadelphia Phillies | 47% | 53% | 4–5 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Philadelphia Phillies | 46% | 54% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Philadelphia Phillies | 43% | 57% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Philadelphia Phillies | 40% | 60% | 3–4 | ✓ |
All 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Cardinals this season
69–54
56% across 123 games
Phillies this season
78–44
64% across 122 games