Sunday · August 23 · 1:37 PM ✦
CARDINALS @ PHILLIES
Citizens Bank Park. · 79 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 11 mph l to r
Final
Cardinals
4
PHILLIES
6
Our Pick
PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES
✓ CorrectProjected: 3–4 Philadelphia Phillies · Actual: 4–6 Phillies
59%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Cardinals | Phillies | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Philadelphia Phillies | 42% | 58% | 3–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Philadelphia Phillies | 38% | 62% | 3–4 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Philadelphia Phillies | 33% | 67% | 3–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | St. Louis Cardinals | 53% | 47% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Philadelphia Phillies | 42% | 58% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Philadelphia Phillies | 38% | 62% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Philadelphia Phillies | 41% | 59% | 3–4 | ✓ |
5 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Cardinals this season
89–66
57% across 155 games
Phillies this season
94–64
59% across 158 games