Saturday · August 22 · 6:05 pm ✦
CARDINALS @ PHILLIES
Citizens Bank Park. · 74 degrees, overcast, wind 6 mph in from rf
Final
Cardinals
3
PHILLIES
12
Our Pick
ST. LOUIS CARDINALS, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 4–3 St. Louis Cardinals · Actual: 3–12 Phillies
51%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Cardinals | Phillies | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | St. Louis Cardinals | 55% | 44% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | St. Louis Cardinals | 53% | 47% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Philadelphia Phillies | 44% | 56% | 3–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | St. Louis Cardinals | 60% | 40% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Philadelphia Phillies | 47% | 53% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | St. Louis Cardinals | 51% | 49% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | St. Louis Cardinals | 51% | 48% | 4–3 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Platoon-weighted and Logistic caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Cardinals this season
89–66
57% across 155 games
Phillies this season
94–64
59% across 158 games