Tuesday · August 18 · 6:40 pm ✦
MARLINS @ PHILLIES
Citizens Bank Park. · 85 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 5 mph l to r
Final
Marlins
4
PHILLIES
6
Our Pick
PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES, narrowly
✓ CorrectProjected: 4–4 Philadelphia Phillies · Actual: 4–6 Phillies
53%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Marlins | Phillies | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Philadelphia Phillies | 45% | 55% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Philadelphia Phillies | 45% | 55% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Miami Marlins | 51% | 49% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Philadelphia Phillies | 40% | 60% | 3–4 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Miami Marlins | 56% | 44% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Philadelphia Phillies | 38% | 62% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Philadelphia Phillies | 47% | 53% | 4–4 | ✓ |
4 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Marlins this season
81–74
52% across 155 games
Phillies this season
94–64
59% across 158 games