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Tuesday · August 18 · 6:40 pm ✦

MARLINS @ PHILLIES

Citizens Bank Park. · 85 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 5 mph l to r

Final

Marlins 4
PHILLIES 6

Our Pick

PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–4 Philadelphia Phillies · Actual: 4–6 Phillies

53%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Marlins Phillies Projected Result
Baseline Philadelphia Phillies 45% 55% 4–4 ✓
Pitcher-weighted Philadelphia Phillies 45% 55% 4–4 ✓
Platoon-weighted Miami Marlins 51% 49% 4–4 ✗
Pitcher + Platoon Philadelphia Phillies 40% 60% 3–4 ✓
Logistic Miami Marlins 56% 44% — ✗
Random Forest Philadelphia Phillies 38% 62% — ✓
Consensus Philadelphia Phillies 47% 53% 4–4 ✓
4 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Marlins this season

66–56

54% across 122 games

Phillies this season

78–44

64% across 122 games