Wednesday · August 19 · 6:05 pm ✦
MARLINS @ PHILLIES
Citizens Bank Park. · 85 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 7 mph out to rf
Final
Marlins
1
PHILLIES
4
Our Pick
PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES, narrowly
✓ CorrectProjected: 4–4 Philadelphia Phillies · Actual: 1–4 Phillies
52%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Marlins | Phillies | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Miami Marlins | 55% | 45% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Miami Marlins | 56% | 44% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Philadelphia Phillies | 49% | 51% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Philadelphia Phillies | 47% | 53% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Philadelphia Phillies | 47% | 53% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Philadelphia Phillies | 24% | 76% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Philadelphia Phillies | 48% | 52% | 4–4 | ✓ |
4 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Marlins this season
81–74
52% across 155 games
Phillies this season
94–64
59% across 158 games