Sunday · August 9 · 1:36 PM ✦
BLUE JAYS @ PHILLIES
Citizens Bank Park. · 90 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 7 mph l to r
Final
Blue Jays
6
PHILLIES
7
Our Pick
PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES
✓ CorrectProjected: 3–4 Philadelphia Phillies · Actual: 6–7 Phillies
60%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Blue Jays | Phillies | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Philadelphia Phillies | 29% | 71% | 3–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Philadelphia Phillies | 42% | 58% | 2–3 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Philadelphia Phillies | 35% | 65% | 3–5 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Toronto Blue Jays | 55% | 45% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Philadelphia Phillies | 42% | 58% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Philadelphia Phillies | 34% | 66% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Philadelphia Phillies | 40% | 60% | 3–4 | ✓ |
5 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Blue Jays this season
73–82
47% across 155 games
Phillies this season
94–64
59% across 158 games