Saturday · August 8 · 6:05 pm ✦
BLUE JAYS @ PHILLIES
Citizens Bank Park. · 90 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 10 mph out to rf
Final
BLUE JAYS
7
Phillies
5
Our Pick
TORONTO BLUE JAYS
✓ CorrectProjected: 5–4 Toronto Blue Jays · Actual: 7–5 Blue Jays
55%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Blue Jays | Phillies | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Philadelphia Phillies | 47% | 53% | 4–5 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Toronto Blue Jays | 62% | 38% | 5–3 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Toronto Blue Jays | 71% | 29% | 6–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Toronto Blue Jays | 53% | 47% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Philadelphia Phillies | 48% | 52% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Philadelphia Phillies | 47% | 53% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Toronto Blue Jays | 55% | 45% | 5–4 | ✓ |
3 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Blue Jays this season
73–82
47% across 155 games
Phillies this season
94–64
59% across 158 games