Monday · August 17 · 6:40 pm ✦
MARLINS @ PHILLIES
Citizens Bank Park. · 86 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 6 mph out to rf
Final
Marlins
5
PHILLIES
6
Our Pick
PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES
✓ CorrectProjected: 3–4 Philadelphia Phillies · Actual: 5–6 Phillies
58%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Marlins | Phillies | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Miami Marlins | 51% | 49% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Philadelphia Phillies | 29% | 71% | 3–4 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Philadelphia Phillies | 40% | 60% | 3–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Philadelphia Phillies | 31% | 69% | 3–5 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Philadelphia Phillies | 50% | 50% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Miami Marlins | 53% | 47% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Philadelphia Phillies | 42% | 58% | 3–4 | ✓ |
4 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Marlins this season
81–74
52% across 155 games
Phillies this season
94–64
59% across 158 games