Friday · August 7 · 6:40 pm ✦
BLUE JAYS @ PHILLIES
Citizens Bank Park. · 89 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 8 mph out to cf
Final
BLUE JAYS
5
Phillies
4
Our Pick
PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 3–4 Philadelphia Phillies · Actual: 5–4 Blue Jays
52%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Blue Jays | Phillies | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Philadelphia Phillies | 49% | 51% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Philadelphia Phillies | 49% | 51% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Toronto Blue Jays | 56% | 44% | 4–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Philadelphia Phillies | 44% | 56% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Philadelphia Phillies | 48% | 52% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Philadelphia Phillies | 33% | 67% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Philadelphia Phillies | 48% | 52% | 3–4 | ✗ |
1 of 6 sims got it right — Platoon-weighted caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Blue Jays this season
73–82
47% across 155 games
Phillies this season
94–64
59% across 158 games