Wednesday · August 5 · 6:40 pm ✦
NATIONALS @ PHILLIES
Citizens Bank Park. · 82 degrees, overcast, wind 5 mph out to lf
Final
NATIONALS
10
Phillies
4
Our Pick
WASHINGTON NATIONALS, narrowly
✓ CorrectProjected: 4–4 Washington Nationals · Actual: 10–4 Nationals
52%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Nationals | Phillies | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Philadelphia Phillies | 40% | 60% | 4–5 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Washington Nationals | 53% | 47% | 4–5 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Washington Nationals | 51% | 49% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Washington Nationals | 58% | 42% | 5–4 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Washington Nationals | 58% | 42% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Philadelphia Phillies | 47% | 53% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Washington Nationals | 52% | 48% | 4–4 | ✓ |
4 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Nationals this season
85–70
55% across 155 games
Phillies this season
94–64
59% across 158 games