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Thursday · August 6 ✦

NATIONALS @ PHILLIES

Citizens Bank Park.

Final

Nationals 3
PHILLIES 7

Our Pick

PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–4 Philadelphia Phillies · Actual: 3–7 Phillies

60%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Nationals Phillies Projected Result
Baseline Philadelphia Phillies 35% 65% 3–5
Pitcher-weighted Philadelphia Phillies 49% 51% 4–4
Platoon-weighted Philadelphia Phillies 31% 69% 3–5
Pitcher + Platoon Philadelphia Phillies 38% 62% 4–5
Logistic Philadelphia Phillies 42% 58%
Random Forest Washington Nationals 52% 48%
Consensus Philadelphia Phillies 40% 60% 3–4
5 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Nationals this season

68–56

55% across 124 games

Phillies this season

78–45

63% across 123 games