Thursday · August 6 ✦
NATIONALS @ PHILLIES
Citizens Bank Park.
Final
Nationals
3
PHILLIES
7
Our Pick
PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES
✓ CorrectProjected: 3–4 Philadelphia Phillies · Actual: 3–7 Phillies
60%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Nationals | Phillies | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Philadelphia Phillies | 35% | 65% | 3–5 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Philadelphia Phillies | 49% | 51% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Philadelphia Phillies | 31% | 69% | 3–5 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Philadelphia Phillies | 38% | 62% | 4–5 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Philadelphia Phillies | 42% | 58% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Washington Nationals | 52% | 48% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Philadelphia Phillies | 40% | 60% | 3–4 | ✓ |
5 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Nationals this season
85–70
55% across 155 games
Phillies this season
94–64
59% across 158 games