Monday · August 3 · 6:40 pm ✦
NATIONALS @ PHILLIES
Citizens Bank Park. · 82 degrees, cloudy, wind 5 mph out to cf
Final
Nationals
3
PHILLIES
6
Our Pick
PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES
✓ CorrectProjected: 3–4 Philadelphia Phillies · Actual: 3–6 Phillies
56%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Nationals | Phillies | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Philadelphia Phillies | 44% | 56% | 3–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Philadelphia Phillies | 40% | 60% | 3–4 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Philadelphia Phillies | 42% | 58% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Philadelphia Phillies | 42% | 58% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Philadelphia Phillies | 49% | 51% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Philadelphia Phillies | 50% | 50% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Philadelphia Phillies | 44% | 56% | 3–4 | ✓ |
All 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Nationals this season
85–70
55% across 155 games
Phillies this season
94–64
59% across 158 games