Tuesday · August 4 · 6:40 pm ✦
NATIONALS @ PHILLIES
Citizens Bank Park. · 84 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 2 mph in from rf
Final
Nationals
0
PHILLIES
5
Our Pick
PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES
✓ CorrectProjected: 3–4 Philadelphia Phillies · Actual: 0–5 Phillies
59%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Nationals | Phillies | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Philadelphia Phillies | 24% | 76% | 2–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Philadelphia Phillies | 38% | 62% | 3–4 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Philadelphia Phillies | 49% | 51% | 3–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Philadelphia Phillies | 40% | 60% | 3–4 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Philadelphia Phillies | 46% | 54% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Washington Nationals | 55% | 45% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Philadelphia Phillies | 41% | 59% | 3–4 | ✓ |
5 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Nationals this season
68–56
55% across 124 games
Phillies this season
78–45
63% across 123 games