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Sunday · July 26 · 7:20 pm ✦

YANKEES @ PHILLIES

Citizens Bank Park. · 82 degrees, clear, wind 6 mph out to lf

Final

Yankees 4
PHILLIES 11

Our Pick

PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–4 Philadelphia Phillies · Actual: 4–11 Phillies

60%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Yankees Phillies Projected Result
Baseline Philadelphia Phillies 49% 51% 2–3
Pitcher-weighted Philadelphia Phillies 24% 76% 2–4
Platoon-weighted Philadelphia Phillies 38% 62% 3–4
Pitcher + Platoon Philadelphia Phillies 35% 65% 3–4
Logistic Philadelphia Phillies 47% 53%
Random Forest Philadelphia Phillies 46% 54%
Consensus Philadelphia Phillies 40% 60% 3–4
All 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Yankees this season

64–58

52% across 122 games

Phillies this season

78–45

63% across 123 games